Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.030130 0.035278 0.040958 0.047680 0.055406 0.063996 0.074257
2025-06-29 0.021262 0.027619 0.035309 0.045255 0.057727 0.072798 0.092330
2025-07-06 0.015984 0.022768 0.031667 0.044098 0.060896 0.082672 0.112881
2025-07-13 0.013410 0.020707 0.030977 0.046303 0.068367 0.098705 0.143235
2025-07-20 0.011323 0.018817 0.030056 0.047850 0.074941 0.114166 0.174632
2025-07-27 0.009114 0.016247 0.027611 0.046630 0.077136 0.123460 0.198146
2025-08-03 0.007562 0.014387 0.025880 0.046118 0.080147 0.134076 0.224570
2025-08-10 0.006176 0.012513 0.023770 0.044574 0.081150 0.141487 0.246580
2025-08-17 0.005134 0.011042 0.022078 0.043421 0.082530 0.149480 0.270146
2025-08-24 0.004436 0.010086 0.021142 0.043431 0.085844 0.160920 0.300459
2025-08-31 0.003731 0.008969 0.019706 0.042258 0.086794 0.168249 0.324242
2025-09-07 0.003444 0.008684 0.019863 0.044181 0.093738 0.186908 0.369870
2025-09-14 0.002998 0.007969 0.019044 0.044072 0.096835 0.199011 0.405116
2025-09-21 0.002530 0.007104 0.017759 0.042793 0.097422 0.206427 0.432325
2025-09-28 0.002182 0.006456 0.016849 0.042187 0.099305 0.216522 0.465643
2025-10-05 0.002061 0.006374 0.017242 0.044567 0.107846 0.240746 0.529112
2025-10-12 0.001908 0.006172 0.017311 0.046198 0.114920 0.262614 0.589734
2025-10-19 0.001640 0.005580 0.016302 0.045085 0.115648 0.271223 0.623716
2025-10-26 0.001439 0.005138 0.015600 0.044624 0.117809 0.283073 0.665533
2025-11-02 0.001226 0.004607 0.014565 0.043143 0.117339 0.289058 0.695185
2025-11-09 0.001057 0.004174 0.013720 0.042032 0.117619 0.296715 0.729129
2025-11-16 0.000946 0.003909 0.013313 0.042046 0.120717 0.311095 0.779333
2025-11-23 0.000816 0.003544 0.012540 0.040910 0.120698 0.318139 0.813321